HOLY ELECTION, WHAT JUST HAPPENED?!?

THE RESULTS ARE IN!

Donald Trump is the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election!

Despite how you feel about the results - this will have a MAJOR impact on the economy and YOU!

We’ll see major changes in attitude towards the legitimacy of crypto investing, large shifts in the S&P 500, and potentially even a large revisit of the proposed TikTok ban.

It’s truly crazy times we live in - and we’re going to break it all down!

MACRO
DONALD TRUMP’S PLANS FOR AMERICA

With Donald Trump securing the presidency, questions around economic policy shifts are already swirling. Here’s what we’re looking at in terms of impacts on the economy, markets, and fiscal policy over the next four years:

• Economic Policy and Growth Strategy: Trump has historically prioritized tax cuts, deregulation, and a more “America First” approach to economic policy, which many expect to shape his second term. Economists anticipate renewed emphasis on supporting U.S.-based manufacturing and energy independence initiatives, as well as incentives for industries like oil and gas. With the economy grappling with high inflation and interest rates, it’s possible that Trump’s administration could introduce additional tax incentives for corporations to encourage domestic job growth and production​

• Market Reactions: Wall Street often reacts positively to promises of tax cuts and deregulation, so sectors like energy, financials, and industrials are expected to benefit in the short term. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones futures may see upticks based on investor expectations of reduced corporate taxes and pro-business policies. However, there’s also potential for volatility, especially in sectors like tech, where Trump has been critical of big tech firms and could potentially renew discussions on tech regulations​

• Trade and Tariffs: Known for his strong stance on international trade, Trump may re-introduce tariffs on Chinese imports and possibly expand tariffs on other imports to support domestic manufacturing. This could impact companies with global supply chains, such as tech and consumer goods, while offering a boost to U.S.-based industries. However, economists warn that heightened tariffs could lead to inflationary pressures, especially on goods imported from Asia​

• Federal Reserve Policy: Trump has historically voiced strong opinions about the Federal Reserve and its influence on monetary policy. There’s speculation that Trump may pressure the Fed to keep interest rates lower, despite inflation concerns, to encourage growth. This could increase market liquidity and benefit sectors sensitive to interest rates, such as real estate and consumer discretionary. However, any perceived interference with the Fed’s independence could create friction and potential uncertainty for investors​

These expected shifts bring a mix of optimism and caution as business leaders and investors look ahead to the next four years.

POLITICS
DONALD TRUMPS NON-ECONOMIC PLANS FOR AMERICA

In light of Donald Trump's recent election victory, his non-economic plans for America center around immigration, energy, and defense, among other domestic priorities.

Here’s a breakdown of key areas he aims to focus on during this term:

• Immigration Reform: Trump is determined to reshape immigration policies to reduce illegal immigration and prioritize border security. He’s advocated for stricter border enforcement, intends to reinstate his original border wall plans, and has mentioned reclassifying certain drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations to broaden enforcement capabilities. Additionally, his campaign has stated he will terminate work permits for undocumented immigrants and limit public benefits to discourage unauthorized immigration, though these plans may face legal and logistical hurdles.

• Environmental and Energy Policies: Trump aims to reverse many of the climate initiatives enacted under Biden, most notably by withdrawing the U.S. from the Paris Climate Agreement once more. He’s vocal about reducing restrictions on fossil fuel production, including plans to expand offshore drilling and boost domestic oil and natural gas output. His approach is grounded in achieving “energy independence” for the U.S., with a specific focus on less regulation and accelerated project approvals for energy infrastructure.

• Defense and NATO Relations: Trump has consistently challenged NATO allies to increase their defense spending, with talk of potentially reducing the U.S. role if other member countries do not meet financial commitments. Additionally, he plans to strengthen U.S. defense capabilities, particularly in missile defense, and continue emphasizing the strategic importance of countering threats from nations like China and Russia.

These policy goals indicate Trump’s focus on a blend of stricter immigration laws, enhanced national security, and a pivot back to traditional energy sources, which may shape U.S. foreign and domestic policy over the coming years

TECH
CRYPTO IS SO BACK

The election outcome has had a significant impact on Bitcoin and the broader crypto market, sparking some major movement, especially with BTC hitting all-time highs.

Here’s the scoop:

• Bitcoin’s Big Surge: Right after the 2024 U.S. election, Bitcoin's price has shot up to new all-time highs. Historically, Bitcoin has seen impressive gains post-election years, and this time looks no different​…

• Election Timing and the Bitcoin Halving: The election coinciding with Bitcoin’s halving (which happens every four years) seems to be a major catalyst. When Bitcoin’s rewards are cut in half, it usually triggers a price increase due to reduced supply. This year’s alignment with the halving and election had some analysts predicting another major rally​

• Trump’s Impact on Crypto: Bitcoin and other cryptos have been seen to respond positively to Donald Trump’s election chances. Historical data shows Trumps win could’ve been a driver for Bitcoin prices going higher, while a Kamala Harris win might might have seen a price dip​

• Crypto Regulation: The political landscape plays a huge role in the future of crypto. Trump’s policies lean more toward favorable crypto regulations, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are currently benefiting. Harris’s plans for crypto were unknown and therefore a toss up. The regulation of crypto seems favorable.

• Market Sentiment: It looks like pro-crypto senators and politicians may push for legislation that further supports the market

Overall, the 2024 election has shaped up to be a game-changer for the crypto space, with Bitcoin’s rise signaling that investors are feeling optimistic about the future of digital assets under the new political climate.

MICRO
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